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Nov '07 13

Possible outcome for the deciding seventh day of the preliminary round at the World Cup of Baseball



One day is left in the preliminary round. The USA, Chinese Taipei, Japan, Cuba and Australia already advanced to the final round. Six teams more can follow them. We will try to describe, how they could:

Possible outcome for tomorrow:
Group A:
USA/Chinese Taipei (both 5-1): The winner of this match up will be ranked first after the round robin in pool A.

Japan (4-2): The Asian team is already qualified and third, because they won the games against Panama (6-2), Italy (10-0) and Mexico (15-3). They lost to Taiwan (1-6), so they cannot jump in the standings.

Panama (3-3): Needs just a victory against South Africa to advance in fourth place. They had won the games against Italy (6-0) and Mexico (3-2). They lost to Japan (2-6), so they cannot gain a place. If they lose, they are out.

Italy (3-3): Needs a win against Mexico and a loss by Panama to advance to the quarterfinals, because they were defeated versus Panama (0-6) and Japan (0-10).

Mexico (3-3): Needs a win against Italy and a loss by Panama to clinch a final round berth. They had lost to Japan (3-15) and Panama (2-3)

Group B:
Australia (5-1): Need a win against Canada to stay second. If they lose, they would still be in the final round, but in third place. They had won against the Netherlands (4-3) and Korea (2-1).

Canada (4-2): They will advance in second place, if they win against Australia. They could go into the final round in third, when they lose and Korea (vs. Germany) loses too. They are advancing in fourth, if they lose and Korea wins. They are out, if they are losing and the Dutch and Korea wins. They won against the Netherlands (7-1) and lost to Korea (0-5). Tiebreaker goes to Korea in front of Canada in front of the Dutch (more details at the bottom)

The Netherlands (4-2): They will advance in third place, if they are winning against Cuba and Canada loses. They will be placed fourth, if they are winning against Cuba and Canada wins. They will be in the final round, if they are losing and Korea loses too. They lost against Canada (1-7) and won against Korea (5-1). They are placed behind Korea and Canada in the tiebreaker (more details at the bottom).

Korea (3-3): They will advance to the next round, if they won, and Canada or the Netherlands or both loses. They will be out, if they are losing itself. They won against Canada (5-0) and lost to the Dutch (1-5). They would win a tiebreaker (more details at the bottom).

From the IBAF Rules:
C 11 Ties
C11.1 The ranking of the teams after the round robin shall be according to the win-loss record of all the games played.
All ties after round robin shall be settled as follows (in order):
a) The team that won the game(s) between the teams tied shall be given the higher position.
b) Fewest runs allowed divided by the number of innings played in defense in the games between teams tied.
c) Fewest earned runs allowed divided by the number of innings played in defense in the games between the teams tied.
d) Highest batting average in games between the teams tied.
e) A coin flip.

Tiebreaker Group B according rule C11.1b):
Team (runs allowed, defensive innings played, coefficient)

1. Korea (5, 18, 0.278)
2. Canada (6, 17, 0.353)
3. Netherlands (8, 18, 0.444)


Schedule for Wednesday:
(all listed times are local)

Group A
12:00 Japan (4-2) – Spain (1-5)
12:00 Mexico (3-3) – Italy (3-3)
18:00 Chinese Taipei (5-1) – USA (5-1)
18:00 Panama (3-3) – South Africa (0-6)

Group B

12:00 Cuba (6-0) – Netherlands (4-2)
12:00 Germany (1-5) – Korea (3-3)
18:00 Canada (4-2) – Australia (5-1)
18:00 Venezuela (1-5) – Thailand (0-6)

I hope, we got it right, if not, please post in the comments-section.


2 Comments

  1. Comment by Kristian Pälviä
    November 13, 2007 | 9:57 pm

    Netherlands will also qualify if they lose against Cuba and Canada wins. Then Netherlands and Korea will have same amount of wins with Netherlands winning the game between them. Or?

  2. Comment by philipp
    November 13, 2007 | 10:07 pm

    Right.

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